2027: Can Nigeria’s opposition still unite behind a single presidential candidate?

Efforts by Nigeria’s opposition parties to present a single presidential candidate for the 2027 election face a difficult test, with some of the country’s leading opposition figures now committed to separate political platforms.

The push for a unified opposition gained momentum earlier in 2026, when opposition leaders agreed in the Ibadan Declaration to work towards a single presidential candidate. The initiative was intended to overcome the fragmentation that marked the 2023 presidential election, when the major opposition candidates contested separately.

However, the coalition subsequently experienced internal disagreements and political realignments.

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar is now the presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), while Peter Obi is the presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC). Former Kano State governor Rabiu Kwankwaso is Obi’s running mate on the NDC ticket.

The Independent National Electoral Commission has confirmed 18 presidential candidates and their running mates for the January 16, 2027 election, making any late-stage attempt to consolidate the opposition more politically complicated.

The original coalition brought together several prominent opposition figures, including Atiku, Obi and Kwankwaso.

In May, however, National Daily reported that Obi and Kwankwaso had left the ADC-led arrangement, citing internal divisions and legal disputes. The development weakened an earlier agreement to support a single presidential candidate.

The political configuration has since shifted further. Obi and Kwankwaso are now campaigning together under the NDC, while Atiku remains the ADC presidential candidate.

The ADC has also selected former Rivers State governor Rotimi Amaechi as Atiku’s running mate. The party said the decision followed consultations with stakeholders and coalition partners.

These developments mean that some of the politicians who were previously negotiating within the same coalition are now leading separate tickets.

Despite the divisions, discussions about broader opposition cooperation have not completely disappeared.

In September, an opposition summit organised by the G100 and the Minority Caucus of the House of Representatives brought together representatives of several parties, including the ADC, NDC, Peoples Democratic Party, Peoples Redemption Party, Social Democratic Party and others.

The meeting proposed a framework for cooperation and a possible single presidential candidate, although some of the major presidential contenders were absent. Five working groups were reportedly established to develop a framework for opposition unity.

The initiative illustrates the continuing demand among some opposition actors for a common platform, but it also highlights the difficulty of reconciling established candidates, parties and political structures.

The central challenge is not simply whether opposition parties can agree on a common programme. They must also determine who would lead such a coalition.

Atiku, Obi and Kwankwaso each have established political constituencies and national campaign structures. Their current arrangements also involve party members, supporters and political figures who have invested in their respective campaigns.

A change in ticket at this stage could therefore require negotiations over the presidential nomination, running mate, party structure, campaign organisation and the distribution of political influence.

Channels Television reported in September that the formal presidential field had already exposed this problem, with several prominent opposition politicians operating under separate parties and tickets.

The emergence of the Obi-Kwankwaso ticket has created another significant configuration within the opposition.

Buba Galadima, an NDC chieftain and ally of Kwankwaso, said in September that the two politicians were working to reconcile differences in their policy positions after running separately in 2023.

He described the partnership as a unified ticket, although it remains one of several opposition tickets competing in the 2027 presidential election.

The pairing brings together two politicians who drew significant support in different parts of the country during the 2023 election. Whether their supporters can be consolidated into a single national political base is ultimately a matter that will be tested at the ballot box rather than established by the formation of the ticket itself.

For the opposition to return to the idea of one presidential candidate, its leaders would have to resolve several outstanding questions.

They would need an agreed method for selecting the candidate, a mechanism for resolving competing ambitions, a common policy programme and arrangements for sharing responsibilities among the participating parties.

They would also need to address concerns over party structures, legal disputes and the political interests of individual candidates.

The experience of the past year suggests that agreeing on the principle of a coalition is easier than translating it into a functioning political arrangement.

For now, Nigeria’s opposition remains divided between calls for a broader alliance and established presidential campaigns operating independently. With the 2027 election approaching and INEC’s presidential field already formally published, the possibility of a single opposition candidate would require substantial political negotiations and changes to existing arrangements.